Know the Rejection and Attraction Areas, Make Great Trades

Discover How to Use Price Distribution to Identify the Best Trades and Avoid Poor Ones

John Forman - Author, The Essentials of Trading

John Forman

aving a clear understanding of the levels the market is drawn to and/or rejected from provides a huge trading advantage. I'll share with you the market analysis and trading techniques that are the basis of strategies Wall Street institutions pay thousands per month to receive!

As a professional market analyst for one of the most well respected companies in the business I get paid a pretty good amount of money to provide trading ideas to the big institutions. These days my focus is on the equity market, but in the past I have covered the fixed income and money markets, forex, and even commodities at times.

These folks want specific ideas and strategies, not some vague idea of what might happen. And of course it better be good stuff!

I mean specific buy and sell points, and targets for where to get out.

Here's a recent example of my analysis and trading strategy for the S&P 500 futures, straight from the service on which I write each day.

Thomson Squawk Box: 2008-01-25 9:07 AM

For today we're going to start with a bracket of 1347 to 1370. The former is yesterday's point of control. The latter is a combination of the high end of last Thursday's value area and the bottom of last Wednesday's. As such, that's a very important level. That being the case, we'll be sellers against it, with a stop at 1376.

To start the day, at least, we'll look to buy an approach of the 1347 low end of the bracket with a stop at 1342.

Notice how the market went right up to the 1370 level straight after the opening bell and immediately turned around. It then dropped right down to 1347 about two hours later (30 minute bars), then bounced from there.

Traders would have made money on both those calls!

Later in the day, after the 1347 finally did give way, I indicated that 1330 was the next major bottoming area. As you can see, that indeed came to pass, not just once, but three times.

How many points was that analysis worth? It depends on how you specifically chose to trade it, but certainly at least 20 and potentially upwards of 40 or 50. If you're an S&P futures trader you know that's a profit of at least 20%, and possibly 50%, on your initial margin requirement - in just 1 day!

Granted, you don't see 40+ point ranges in the S&P every day. But what if you could grab even just 5 points per day? That's like 10% on your margin. A great many traders have done extremely well for themselves doing just that sort of thing.

Works for any market, any timeframe.

Not a stock market trader? Or maybe you don't trade short-term. Not to worry. I cover a lot of markets in my own trading and I can tell you that this methodology I'm going to show you...

Here's an example of a forex trade I did for myself using the very same approach.

In fact, this trade was on during my vacation. I put it on before I left and when I came back I'd booked more than 500 pips!

Based on how the markets really work.

Most traders never stop to think about what's happening at the most basic level when prices move and trades are made. That means they don't really understand what true support and resistance is all about.

The charting method to which I'm referring is sometimes called Market Profile. I've also seen it referred to as TPO Charting, Volume at Price, and some other names. For simplicity's sake, I just call it price distribution analysis. Unfortunately, not many people have been exposed to it.

At its core, this price distribution technique is a charting method which, as the name implies, focuses on price (and volume for markets where that information is available). It uses no indicators. It's not a trading system. Please be aware of that.

Price is how the market attempts to optimize transaction flow and charts are generally the most efficient way to present the movement of price over time. Through the charts we can see how the markets are moving price to serve their needs, and of course by extension the needs of traders and investors like ourselves.

And through those charts we can see where the market is likely to go next.

Get the biggest profits out of each trade!

When you know where the market is likely to go - where the major support and resistance levels are - it makes trading so much easier. You can manage your trades better, squeeze the most profit out of each position. This is one of the simplest ways to benefit from learning the techniques I will share.

I began using this methodology almost 15 years ago when I first started as a market analyst and I love it more and more each day!

What I'm going to show you is what I use every day to identify the important price levels - the ones that the market will invariably be drawn to. And each day I watch them get hit. It's so amazing to see it happen time after time after time. My co-workers would tell you that I often shake my head at how well this stuff works!

Spot the turning points!

Ever wanted to buy the low and sell the high?

Of course you have! We all have!

But how often have you been able to say you did? Using this technique it happens to me more frequently than you'd think possible.

Here's another recent example:

Thomson Squawk Box: 2008-01-24 8:49 AM Squawk Trader

Our strategy to start the day is to fade the edges of the bracket in expectation of a relatively narrow day. That means selling the approach of 1356 with a stop at 1364. It also means buying on the approach of 1335, with a stop at 1330.

Want to guess what happened?

That's right! Readers would have sold at the top and bough at the bottom. Actually, they could have sold at the top twice!

Pick out great trades!

As traders we're always on the look out for those great trade opportunities - the ones where the rewards far outweigh the risks. That's the whole point of the methodology I use and which I'm going to share with you.

It's all about asymmetric risk.

That means having the risks clearly biased in your favor. Most of that comes from know where the market is likely to go, and where it's likely to turn. With that information you can have an excellent idea of how much you will need to risk on a given trade, and how far it's likely to go in your favor. You can then take only the trades which offer the best bang for the buck!

Easily identify Support & Resistance Levels!

A great many traders struggle with the idea of support and resistance. This method of analyzing price action makes it SO MUCH EASIER!

But it's more than that.

Some levels are likely rejection points while others will tend to operate as attractors. What I will show you will having you seeing that clearly. It will give you a much deeper understanding of support and resistance than you likely ever thought possible!

Traders who have learned this methodology have cited that very thing as one of their biggest takeaways from it all.

You see, it's all about value - an I'm not talking about fundamental analysis here. Each price point where buyers and sellers come together indicates an intersection of value - though for very different reasons. The more trades which take place at a certain price, the more it means folks are coming together on the basis of value, and by definition, that's what the markets are looking for - the levels with the most value.

That's why I've named the course I've put together for you Following the Quest for Value. It's a never-ending quest, of course, but by tracking it you can put yourself in the position to make really outstanding trades.


Following the Quest for Value

Using the distribution of price and volume to identify high quality trading opportunities

Video Course

 

The course features 8 video "lectures".

Don't worry, though. They only average maybe 30 minutes in length, so you don't need to sit at your computer for hours on end. You won't even need to download the videos. They'll be available online in the easily viewed Flash format to save you space on your hard drive (though you will also be able to download them too).

In the lectures I cover all the primary elements of the price distribution charting methodology and how I apply it. I also provide some real-life examples to show you how it works in action so you can see for yourself.

And of course you will be free to ask any questions you might have.

Listen to your peers!

"This course really opened my eyes to the value areas that are created each trading day. I used to wonder how others found it so easy to find support and resistance levels. I did try the classical methods found in books but could never understand the why of it." - Michael D.

"I believe that this is a very important topic for traders to at least understand, providing another very useful tool for us to use. Your efforts are greatly appreciated!" - Peter S.

"Thanks very much for the course. I found it incredibly informative and it has definitely given me food for thought regarding how I can use it within my own trading." - Matthew R.

"It's a very valuable course.." - Li L.

"Very good and well presented course. It is the kind of course that would be advantageous to study again and again until it became second nature." - Steve W.

"I rather enjoyed the course. The pace was good. And, the material was well presented.  I especially appreciated many of John's insights into the market forces displayed my TPO charts. I have the books on MP, but they focus more on the method than on understanding just what it is that TPO charts reveal about price structure." - Stan H.

You might have some questions at this stage. Here are the ones I usually get.

Will it work for Forex or Bonds?
Absolutely. As I've said, it works for any market.

Is it only for day trading? Do I need to sit in front of the screen all day?
Definitely not. For my work I use it in a day trading fashion, but for myself I use other timeframes. Just like with bar or candlestick charting, you can adjust to trade any timeframe you like.

Do I need a special charting package?
You may want one, but it isn't absolutely required. In fact, the charting package you already use might have what you need to look at price distribution charts. Many of them do. You just might need to do some research to find out what they call it. Even if you don't, though, once you understand the concepts I'll be showing you, you can get along just fine with bars and candles. I do it all the time.

Are there specific rules?
The techniques I'll be showing you are discretionary in nature, not mechanical. While I do think it's probably possible to develop a mechanical approach, that is not the focus of what the course focuses on.

Do I need Level II prices, or anything special like that?
Not at all. The distributions are developed by normal prices - opens, highs, lows, and closes. Any normal feed will work. Heck, you can even used delayed feeds like I do.

Just about now you're probably wondering how much I want to share with you the way to identify likely tops and bottoms and pick great target levels and entry point for you trades. First, let me add something I think you'll find really useful to the mix.

See the analysis and strategy in action!

That's right. I'm offering you the course and not looking to receive any money for it at all myself. The only thing I ask in return is that you help me help out a local youth organization that means a lot to me.

Actually, its a youth volleyball club program I helped start a number of years ago, but now am not longer in involved with because I moved out of the area. Running such a program, as you know if you've ever done anything like that, is costly. The facilities expenses are always rising, coaches need to be paid, there's equipment to be bought, travel, and all kinds of other organizational expenses.

The club really does seek to keep the cost for the kids down so as many young people as possible can participate, but it's getting harder and harder and last year they got into a major financial bind that they're still trying to get out of. That's why I would like to support them and how you can help me do so.

So here's my offer...

I'll give you the course if you help me support the kids and the folks who do so much for them.

That's it. Nice and simple.

I will give you a video that will show you the techniques I have used for a decade and a half across the full spectrum of market and timeframes to:

Evaluate the profit potential of each trade so you
can pick only the best trades to make.

Develop a good profit taking strategy so you can
take the largest profit out of each position.

Pick the likely market tops and bottoms.

At its most basic level what you will learn is a chart analysis technique. Price action is the most important thing and this methodology has that as the entire focus. It uses no indicators of any sort and requires no subscription services.

As you will find, what you will get from this course could very well be priceless. I use this every day advising professional traders, and in my own trading. I know it works from personal experience, and I know your trading will get better if you put it to use.

Your Money-Back Guarantee

You have my unconditional promise that if at any point you are not satisfied with the course, you will get a refund. No questions asked. It's that simple. You will get 100% of your money back.


 

 

 

There's no doubt in my mind that I could get a lot more for it. In return for the video, though, all I ask is $197, proceeds of which will go to a great cause. I won't take a penny myself.

You get very useful information for a real bargain and the kids get much needed support. What more could you possibly ask for?

Market Profile is a registered trademark of the Chicago Board of Trade.